The black swan
the impact of the highly improbable
- ISBN: 9780141034591
- Editorial: Penguin Books
- Fecha de la edición: 2008
- Lugar de la edición: London. Reino Unido
- Encuadernación: Rústica
- Medidas: 20 cm
- Nº Pág.: 480
- Idiomas: Inglés
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.