Logotipo librería Marcial Pons
The signal and the noise

The signal and the noise
the art and science of prediction

  • ISBN: 9780141975658
  • Editorial: Penguin Books
  • Lugar de la edición: London. Reino Unido
  • Encuadernación: Rústica
  • Medidas: 21 cm
  • Nº Pág.: 531
  • Idiomas: Inglés

Papel: Rústica
23,95 €
Stock en librería. Envío en 24/48 horas

Resumen

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.

Resumen

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